Viendo archivo del viernes, 28 marzo 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Mar 28 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 088 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Mar 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 987 (S08W18), 988 (S08E07), and 989 (S12E36) have shown little change and retain their beta magnetic configuration.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. There is a chance of a C-class event from any of the three numbered regions on the disk.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to minor storm levels due to the continued influence of the recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind speed at the ACE spacecraft is averaging around 640 km/s. The greater than 2MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled with isolated active conditions for 29-30 March. Predominately quiet levels are expected for 31 March as the high speed stream rotates out of a geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Mar a 31 Mar
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       28 Mar 083
  Previsto   29 Mar-31 Mar  085/085/080
  Media de 90 Días        28 Mar 073
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 27 Mar  019/031
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 28 Mar  018/020
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 29 Mar-31 Mar  010/010-008/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Mar a 31 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%10%
Tormenta Menor10%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%01%

All times in UTC

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