Viendo archivo del sábado, 5 abril 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Apr 05 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 096 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Apr 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Spotless plage Region 989 (S11W67) produced an isolated low-level B-class flare. SOHO/LASCO images showed a halo CME, first visible in C2 at 05/1626Z. The CME appeared to be from the back side, based on STEREO Ahead EUVI 195 images and the GOES- 10 X-ray signature. No new active regions were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to major storm levels with a Kp = 6 observed during 05/1500 - 1800Z. ACE measurements indicated Earth entered a fast solar wind flow from a recurrent low-latitude coronal hole in the southern hemisphere. Solar wind velocities increased during the period with a peak of 671 km/sec detected at 05/1634Z. IMF Bz reached a minimum of -7 nT at 05/1441Z. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit briefly reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on day 1 (06 April) with major storm levels possible at high latitudes. Activity is expected to decrease to unsettled to active levels during days 2 - 3 (07 - 08 April) as coronal hole effects persist.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Apr a 08 Apr
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       05 Apr 071
  Previsto   06 Apr-08 Apr  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        05 Apr 073
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 04 Apr  008/011
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 05 Apr  015/025
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 06 Apr-08 Apr  012/020-010/012-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Apr a 08 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%25%25%
Tormenta Menor10%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo50%30%30%
Tormenta Menor25%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%

All times in UTC

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