Viendo archivo del domingo, 13 abril 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Apr 13 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 104 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Apr 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z

Solar activity was very low.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind velocity remains elevated in the 550 - 600 km/sec range. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet at mid-latitudes for the forecast period, 14-16 April. Isolated active to minor storm conditions at high-latitudes remains a possibility due to the elevated solar wind velocity.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Apr a 16 Apr
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       13 Apr 069
  Previsto   14 Apr-16 Apr  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        13 Apr 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 12 Apr  008/011
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 13 Apr  005/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 14 Apr-16 Apr  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Apr a 16 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%25%20%
Tormenta Menor15%15%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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