Viendo archivo del martes, 22 abril 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Apr 22 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 113 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Apr 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during the past 24 hours. New Region 992 (N13W01) emerged today as a small, C-type sunspot group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low for the next three days (23-25 April).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet from the beginning of the period through about 1500Z. Since then activity has been unsettled. Real-time solar wind data from ACE indicate a possible solar sector boundary from 'away' orientation (positive) to 'towards' orientation (negative) at about 1410Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly unsettled with a chance for isolated active periods for the first and second days (23-24 April). The elevated activity is expected in response to a coronal hole which should be in a favorable position on those days. Activity is expected to decline to quiet to unsettled for the third day (25 April).
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Apr a 25 Apr
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       22 Apr 071
  Previsto   23 Apr-25 Apr  075/075/075
  Media de 90 Días        22 Apr 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 21 Apr  003/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 22 Apr  007/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 23 Apr-25 Apr  012/015-012/012-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Apr a 25 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo40%40%15%
Tormenta Menor10%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo40%40%15%
Tormenta Menor15%15%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%01%

All times in UTC

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