Viendo archivo del viernes, 16 mayo 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 May 16 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 137 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 May 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. New regions 994
(S11E04), 995 (N12E22), and 996 (N13E59) were numbered today.
Regions 994 and 995 are simple A-type groups with a single spot.
Region 996 is a B-type group with a beta magnetic configuration.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels for days one and two of the forecast
period (17 and 18 May). Geomagnetic activity is expected to
increase to quiet to unsettled levels with a slight chance for
active conditions on day three (19 May), as a coronal hole high
speed stream rotates into a geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 May a 19 May
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 16 May 072 Previsto 17 May-19 May 072/072/072 Media de 90 Días 16 May 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 15 May 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 16 May 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 17 May-19 May 005/005-005/005-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 May a 19 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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