Viendo archivo del viernes, 11 julio 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Jul 11 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 193 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Jul 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed in the past 24 hours. The visible solar disk remains spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. Solar wind signatures observed at ACE are indicating the onset of a high speed stream from a recurrent coronal hole. The velocity has showed a steady increase from around 340 to 450 km/s, and the IMF Bz component has ranged from +/- 7 nT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to active levels with a chance for isolated minor storm conditions at high latitudes for 13 July. Predominately unsettled conditions are expected for 14-15 July as the high speed stream continues to be geoeffective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Jul a 14 Jul
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       11 Jul 066
  Previsto   12 Jul-14 Jul  066/066/066
  Media de 90 Días        11 Jul 067
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 10 Jul  002/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 11 Jul  004/012
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 12 Jul-14 Jul  015/020-012/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Jul a 14 Jul
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%25%20%
Tormenta Menor15%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo35%30%25%
Tormenta Menor20%15%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%05%01%

All times in UTC

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