Viendo archivo del jueves, 11 septiembre 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Sep 11 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 255 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Sep 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. New Region 1001 (N06E14) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels for 12 September. Quiet to unsettled conditions are forecast for 13 September, with unsettled to active conditions expected for 14 September. The increase in activity is forecast due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Sep a 14 Sep
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       11 Sep 067
  Previsto   12 Sep-14 Sep  066/066/066
  Media de 90 Días        11 Sep 066
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 10 Sep  002/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 11 Sep  002/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 12 Sep-14 Sep  005/005-007/008-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Sep a 14 Sep
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%20%35%
Tormenta Menor01%01%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%25%40%
Tormenta Menor01%05%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%10%

All times in UTC

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