Viendo archivo del miércoles, 17 septiembre 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Sep 17 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 261 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Sep 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours. The visible disk remained spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominately quiet. An isolated unsettled period was observed between 17/0300-0600Z. Solar wind speed measured at the ACE spacecraft showed a gradual decrease from approximately 530 km/s to 410 km/s during the forecast period. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominately quiet with isolated unsettled conditions for the next three days (18-20 September).
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Sep a 20 Sep
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       17 Sep 067
  Previsto   18 Sep-20 Sep  066/066/066
  Media de 90 Días        17 Sep 066
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 16 Sep  007/009
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 17 Sep  005/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 18 Sep-20 Sep  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Sep a 20 Sep
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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