Viendo archivo del lunes, 22 septiembre 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Sep 22 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 266 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Sep 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours. New Region 1002 (N25W27) emerged on the disk as an eight-spot Dso Beta group with new Cycle 24 polarity.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at predominately very low levels. There is a chance for isolated C-class activity with continued growth from new Region 1002.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominately quiet. A brief period of unsettled activity was observed early on 22 September between 0000Z and 0600Z due to a solar sector boundary crossing.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet throughout the forecast period (23 - 25 September).
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Sep a 25 Sep
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       22 Sep 069
  Previsto   23 Sep-25 Sep  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        22 Sep 066
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 21 Sep  001/002
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 22 Sep  005/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 23 Sep-25 Sep  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Sep a 25 Sep
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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