Viendo archivo del domingo, 12 octubre 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Oct 12 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 286 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Oct 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1005 (N27E28) is a
beta magnetic configuration and has six spots visible in white
light.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active conditions. Solar wind
speed as observed by ACE indicate the continued influence of the
coronal hole high speed stream. Velocities average well above 500
km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit
reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for 13-14 October.
Mostly quiet conditions are expected for 15 October.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Oct a 15 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Oct 070 Previsto 13 Oct-15 Oct 072/072/073 Media de 90 Días 12 Oct 067
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Oct 020/037 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Oct 015/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Oct-15 Oct 007/010-005/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Oct a 15 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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