Viendo archivo del jueves, 30 octubre 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Oct 30 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 304 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Oct 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
New-cycle polarity Region 1007 (N35E15) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to active levels. ACE solar
wind measurements indicated Earth remained within a recurrent
coronal hole high-speed stream. Solar wind velocities ranged from
632 to 723 km/sec during the period. IMF Bz varied from 06 to -05 nT
during the period. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit increased to high levels at 30/1605Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day 1 (31 October)
with a chance for active levels at high latitudes. Mostly quiet
levels are expected during days 2 - 3 (01 - 02 November).
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Oct a 02 Nov
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Oct 067 Previsto 31 Oct-02 Nov 068/069/069 Media de 90 Días 30 Oct 067
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Oct 016/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Oct 013/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 Oct-02 Nov 008/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Oct a 02 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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