Viendo archivo del lunes, 10 noviembre 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Nov 10 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 315 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Nov 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Newly numbered Region 1008 (N33E01) emerged on the disk today and managed to produce todays only event, a B3 x-ray flare at 2031Z. The group is a small (40 millionths), fairly simple D-type sunspot group although there is some weak polarity mixing in the trailer part of the region.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be predominantly very low for the next three days (11-13 November). There is a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare from Region 1008 if it continues to emerge.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was generally quiet during the past 24 hours. ACE solar wind data showed a steady decline of solar wind velocity during the past 24 hours with day-end values around 400 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next three days (11-13 November).
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Nov a 13 Nov
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       10 Nov 069
  Previsto   11 Nov-13 Nov  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        10 Nov 068
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 09 Nov  010/012
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 10 Nov  005/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 11 Nov-13 Nov  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Nov a 13 Nov
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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