Viendo archivo del miércoles, 24 diciembre 2008
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Dec 24 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 359 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Dec 2008IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels. ACE
solar wind data indicated Earth remained within a recurrent coronal
hole high-speed stream. Solar wind velocities gradually decreased
from a high of 552 km/sec to a low of 452 km/sec during the period.
IMF Bz was variable in the +05 to -05 nT range.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels during the forecast period (25
- 27 December).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Dec a 27 Dec
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Dec 069 Previsto 25 Dec-27 Dec 069/070/071 Media de 90 Días 24 Dec 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Dec 008/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Dec 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Dec-27 Dec 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Dec a 27 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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