Viendo archivo del miércoles, 14 enero 2009

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Jan 14 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 014 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Jan 2009

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z

Solar activity continued very low. Region 1010 (N18W33) decayed to a now spotless plage. The days most noteworthy event occurred near 1500 UTC when remnants of a high latitude filament were seen to lift from the disk in EIT, spawning a CME from East Limb. However, magnetic field data show no obvious enhancement of the fields in this area. Little else of interest occurred.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity will persist at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to slightly unsettled. A Sudden Impulse, possibly related to a faint CME on January 9, measured 13 nt at Boulder. It occurred at 0121 UTC.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet throughout the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Jan a 17 Jan
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       14 Jan 071
  Previsto   15 Jan-17 Jan  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        14 Jan 068
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 13 Jan  002/003
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 14 Jan  008/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 15 Jan-17 Jan  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Jan a 17 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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