Viendo archivo del viernes, 16 enero 2009
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Jan 16 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 016 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Jan 2009IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours. The visible disk remained spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on 17-18 January. Conditions should increase to
quiet to unsettled late on 18 January and last through 19 January,
as a recurrent coronal hole rotates into a geoeffective position.
During this interval, isolated active conditions are possible at
high latitudes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Jan a 19 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 16 Jan 071 Previsto 17 Jan-19 Jan 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 16 Jan 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 15 Jan 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 16 Jan 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 17 Jan-19 Jan 005/005-005/005-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Jan a 19 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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