Viendo archivo del lunes, 19 enero 2009

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Jan 19 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 019 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Jan 2009

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z

Solar activity remained very low. Ephemeral Region 1011 (S12W25) emerged early in the period and was spotless by days end. It sported a few penumbraless spots at its peak and old Cycle 23 magnetic polarity. Little else of significance occurred or was noted.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to stay very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. A recurrent high-speed solar wind stream brought short-lived active conditions to all latitudes early in the day. The disturbance quickly waned, and quiet conditions prevailed by the end of the interval.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet throughout the forecast period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Jan a 22 Jan
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       19 Jan 071
  Previsto   20 Jan-22 Jan  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        19 Jan 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 18 Jan  002/002
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 19 Jan  009/009
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 20 Jan-22 Jan  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Jan a 22 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%10%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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