Viendo archivo del viernes, 13 febrero 2009

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Feb 13 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 044 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Feb 2009

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 1012 (S06E34) produced a B2 event at 13/0535Z. This event had an associated CME which was observed in the STEREO imagery (Ahead and Behind). The region remains a simple alpha sunspot group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled with isolated active periods for the next three days (14-16 February) due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Feb a 16 Feb
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       13 Feb 070
  Previsto   14 Feb-16 Feb  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        13 Feb 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 12 Feb  001/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 13 Feb  002/004
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 14 Feb-16 Feb  010/010-015/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Feb a 16 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo35%35%35%
Tormenta Menor15%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo35%35%35%
Tormenta Menor15%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%10%

All times in UTC

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