Viendo archivo del lunes, 16 febrero 2009

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Feb 16 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 047 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Feb 2009

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed in the past 24 hours. The solar disk remains spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Solar wind speed steadily decreased from 550 - 440 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels for the next three days (17-19 February).
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Feb a 19 Feb
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       16 Feb 070
  Previsto   17 Feb-19 Feb  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        16 Feb 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 15 Feb  006/010
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 16 Feb  002/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 17 Feb-19 Feb  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Feb a 19 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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