Viendo archivo del miércoles, 11 marzo 2009

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Mar 11 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 070 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Mar 2009

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected. The visible disk was spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet levels on day 1 of the forecast period (12 March). Activity is expected to increase to unsettled to active levels during days 2 - 3 (13 - 14 March) with a chance for minor to major storm periods at high latitudes due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Mar a 14 Mar
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       11 Mar 070
  Previsto   12 Mar-14 Mar  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        11 Mar 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 10 Mar  003/003
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 11 Mar  001/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 12 Mar-14 Mar  005/005-012/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Mar a 14 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%20%15%
Tormenta Menor01%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%30%25%
Tormenta Menor01%20%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%05%

All times in UTC

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