Viendo archivo del martes, 21 abril 2009

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Apr 21 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 111 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Apr 2009

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed. New Region 1015 (N22 W65) was numbered during the period. The region formed on the disk and is a simple Axx alpha spot group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. Observations from the ACE spacecraft indicated a gradual decay in wind speeds, from near 450 km/s to 390 km/s, through about 21/1100Z. Since that time, and through the remainder of the period, wind velocities increased to about 460 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for 22 April due to a recurrent enhancement in solar wind velocities. On 23 - 24 April, mostly quiet conditions are expected.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Apr a 24 Apr
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       21 Apr 071
  Previsto   22 Apr-24 Apr  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        21 Apr 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 20 Apr  003/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 21 Apr  006/007
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 22 Apr-24 Apr  007/007-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Apr a 24 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%05%05%
Tormenta Menor05%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%05%05%
Tormenta Menor05%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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