Viendo archivo del lunes, 6 julio 2009
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Jul 06 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 187 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Jul 2009IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1024 (S27W26) produced
an isolated C1/Sf flare at 06/1705Z. Region 1024 showed minor decay
with loss of some intermediate spots, but retained a mix of
polarities near region center.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for an isolated C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels during days 1 - 2 (07 - 08 July).
Activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels on day
3 (09 July) due to an increase in solar wind velocities associated
with a favorably positioned coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Jul a 09 Jul
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Jul 070 Previsto 07 Jul-09 Jul 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 06 Jul 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Jul 004/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Jul 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Jul-09 Jul 005/005-005/005-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Jul a 09 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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