Viendo archivo del jueves, 6 agosto 2009

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Aug 06 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 218 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Aug 2009

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during the past 24 hours. The visible disk remains spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Solar wind observations from the ACE spacecraft indicated the onset of a high-speed stream from a recurrent coronal hole. Velocities increased from around 380 km/s to 520 km/s with +/- 13 nT fluctuations in the IMF Bz.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled with a slight chance for isolated active periods for day one (07 August) as the recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream remains geoeffective. Quiet conditions are expected on day two (08 August). Quiet to unsettled conditions with a slight chance for isolated active periods are expected for day three (09 August) due to the next recurrent coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Aug a 09 Aug
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       06 Aug 067
  Previsto   07 Aug-09 Aug  067/067/067
  Media de 90 Días        06 Aug 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 05 Aug  005/006
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 06 Aug  011/012
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 07 Aug-09 Aug  007/007-005/005-007/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Aug a 09 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%05%20%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%10%30%
Tormenta Menor05%01%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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