Viendo archivo del domingo, 9 agosto 2009

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Aug 09 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 221 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Aug 2009

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed. The visible disk remained spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels. ACE solar wind data indicated the unsettled conditions observed during 09/0300 - 0900Z were associated with a period of sustained southward IMF Bz (minimum -4 nT at 09/0300Z). Solar wind velocities ranged from 408 - 481 km/sec during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels with a chance for active levels on day 1 (10 August) due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream. Activity is expected to decrease to quiet levels during days 2 - 3 (11 -12 August) as the high-speed stream subsides.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Aug a 12 Aug
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       09 Aug 067
  Previsto   10 Aug-12 Aug  067/067/067
  Media de 90 Días        09 Aug 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 08 Aug  002/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 09 Aug  007/007
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 10 Aug-12 Aug  007/007-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Aug a 12 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%10%10%
Tormenta Menor10%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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