Viendo archivo del domingo, 18 octubre 2009

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Oct 18 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 291 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Oct 2009

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. A southern plage region (S28W14) produced a two-ribbon flare around 17/1900Z associated with a minor x-ray enhancement and an EIT wave. LASCO images showed a faint, slow-moving (around 230 km/sec), Earth-directed partial-halo CME was also associated with the flare.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet levels through the period (19 - 21 October). No significant field effects are expected from the CME mentioned above.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Oct a 21 Oct
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       18 Oct 070
  Previsto   19 Oct-21 Oct  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        18 Oct 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 17 Oct  000/002
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 18 Oct  002/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 19 Oct-21 Oct  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Oct a 21 Oct
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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