Viendo archivo del sábado, 24 octubre 2009

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Oct 24 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 297 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Oct 2009

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected. Region 1029 (N14W01) is now a 13-spot bipolar sunspot group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was mostly quiet. One period of unsettled conditions was observed between 1800 - 2100Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be quiet to unsettled on day one (25 October) in response to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Quiet conditions are expected on days two and three (26 - 27 October).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Oct a 27 Oct
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       24 Oct 076
  Previsto   25 Oct-27 Oct  075/075/075
  Media de 90 Días        24 Oct 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 23 Oct  007/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 24 Oct  008/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 25 Oct-27 Oct  008/010-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Oct a 27 Oct
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%10%10%
Tormenta Menor05%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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