Viendo archivo del jueves, 3 diciembre 2009
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Dec 03 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 337 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Dec 2009IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours. The disk is spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for day one (04 Dec). Quiet to unsettled
levels with a slight chance for isolated active periods are expected
on days two and three (05-06 Dec) as a recurrent coronal hole high
speed becomes geoeffective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Dec a 06 Dec
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Dec 072 Previsto 04 Dec-06 Dec 072/073/073 Media de 90 Días 03 Dec 073
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Dec 000/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Dec 001/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Dec-06 Dec 005/005-007/008-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Dec a 06 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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