Viendo archivo del lunes, 21 diciembre 2009
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2009 Dec 21 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 355 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Dec 2009IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity was low. Isolated low-level C-class
flares and occasional B-class flares were observed. Region 1035
(N31W85) showed no significant change as it approached the west
limb. Region 1036 (S27W45) showed rapid growth and was classified as
a Dso/Beta at the end of the period. No new regions were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
Isolated C-class flare activity is expected. There is also a slight
chance for an isolated M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels through the period (22 - 24
December).
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Dec a 24 Dec
| Clase M | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Dec 083 Previsto 22 Dec-24 Dec 080/076/074 Media de 90 Días 21 Dec 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Dec 002/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Dec 001/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Dec-24 Dec 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Dec a 24 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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