Viendo archivo del sábado, 13 marzo 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Mar 13 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 072 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Mar 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels for the past 24
hours. Region 1054 (N15E15) showed growth and is now magnetically
classified as a Beta-Gamma. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels for the next three days (14-16 March).
C-flares are likely from Region 1054. There is a slight chance for
an isolated M-class event from this region.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels on the first day (14 March)
and then at mostly quiet to unsettled levels on day two and three
(15-16 March) due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream and
solar sector boundary crossing.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Mar a 16 Mar
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Mar 092 Previsto 14 Mar-16 Mar 092/093/094 Media de 90 Días 13 Mar 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Mar 006/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Mar 003/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Mar-16 Mar 005/007-007/007-007/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Mar a 16 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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