Viendo archivo del martes, 6 abril 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Apr 06 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 096 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Apr 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Todays flare activity
consisted of a single B1 X-ray event at 0402Z from Region 1060
(N26E32). In addition a small, possibly earthward directed CME was
observed in the Stereo coronagraph images and was associated with
disk activity in the SOHO EIT images beginning at about 0113Z, just
north of Region 1061 (N14W24). Region 1061 appears to be growing
slowly.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low, but there is a chance for an isolated C-class event from Region
1061.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at active to minor storm levels for most of
the day, with the exception of an interval of minor to major storm
levels between 0000-0600Z. Solar wind observations from the ACE
spacecraft showed a slow trend of increasingly negative Bz
consistent with continued influence of yesterdays CME-driven
activity. Peak negative Bz values reached -8 nT at about 1250Z.
Solar wind velocity gradually decreased during the past 24 hours and
was about 550 km/s at the end of the period. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached very high levels
during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be active for the first day (07 April) due to a
favorably positioned coronal hole. Activity levels are expected to
be unsettled to active on the second day (08 April) due to
persistence as well as possible effects from todays CME.
Predominantly quiet levels are expected on the third day (09 April).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Apr a 09 Apr
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Apr 078 Previsto 07 Apr-09 Apr 082/085/085 Media de 90 Días 06 Apr 083
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Apr 028/049 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Apr 025/030 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Apr-09 Apr 015/020-012/015-005/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Apr a 09 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 20% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 25% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 15% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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