Viendo archivo del sábado, 8 mayo 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 May 08 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 128 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 May 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity remained at low levels. Region 1069
(N41W78) produced isolated C-class flares as it approached the west
limb. The largest of these was a C9/1f at 08/0459Z associated with
radio bursts at 245 MHz and 410 MHz. New Region 1071 (S20W42), a
small A-type spot, was numbered. No Earth-directed CMEs were
observed during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
on day 1 (09 May) with a chance for isolated C-class flares from
Region 1069. Activity is expected to decrease to very low levels
during days 2 - 3 (10 - 11 May) due to the departure of Region 1069
early on 10 May.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at mostly quiet levels. ACE solar wind
measurements indicated Earth remained within a gradually subsiding
coronal hole high-speed stream. Solar wind velocities decreased from
518 to 437 km/sec during the period. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels during days 1 - 2 (09 -
10 May) with a slight chance for active levels. Field activity is
expected to increase to unsettled levels on day 3 (11 May) with a
chance for active levels due a recurrent co-rotating interaction
region/coronal-hole high-speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 May a 11 May
| Clase M | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 May 079 Previsto 09 May-11 May 077/075/075 Media de 90 Días 08 May 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 May 010/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 May 006/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 May-11 May 007/008-007/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 May a 11 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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