Viendo archivo del sábado, 15 mayo 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 May 15 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 135 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 May 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred. The
visible disk was spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low during the period (16 - 18 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels throughout the period.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels during day 1 (16 May) with a
chance for unsettled levels due to possible coronal hole effects.
Field activity is expected to be at quiet levels during days 2 - 3
(17 - 18 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 May a 18 May
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 15 May 070 Previsto 16 May-18 May 070/072/072 Media de 90 Días 15 May 080
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 14 May 001/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 15 May 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 16 May-18 May 007/007-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 May a 18 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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