Viendo archivo del miércoles, 2 junio 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Jun 02 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 153 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Jun 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past
24 hours. Region 1076 (S21W21) has grown in area, sunspot number,
and is magnetically classified as a Beta.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels with a slight chance for C-class events for the
next three days (03-05 June).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the
past 24 hours. The ACE spacecraft observations show the continued
presence and of a coronal hole high-speed stream. Throughout the
period, solar wind speeds have decreased from 550 km/s to 427 km/s.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels with a chance for isolated
active periods for the next three days (03 - 05 June). Activity on
day one and day two (03-04 June) is due to a recurrent coronal hole
high-speed stream. On day three (05 June), the expected geomagnetic
activity is due to the arrival of the CME observed on May 31/2134Z.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Jun a 05 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Jun 074 Previsto 03 Jun-05 Jun 074/073/072 Media de 90 Días 02 Jun 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Jun 010/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Jun 006/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Jun-05 Jun 008/008-007/008-007/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Jun a 05 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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