Viendo archivo del lunes, 21 junio 2010

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Jun 21 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 172 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Jun 2010

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z

Solar activity has been very low. Region 1082 (N27W23) produced todays only flare, an isolated B1 event at 21/1912Z. A filament near N19W18 disappeared sometime between 21/0207Z and 21/1200Z, and was associated with a CME on the west limb. Coronagraph data indicates the CME is not earth directed
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for an isolated C-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been predominately quiet with an isolated unsettled period at 21/0600-0900Z. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Jun a 24 Jun
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       21 Jun 072
  Previsto   22 Jun-24 Jun  072/072/072
  Media de 90 Días        21 Jun 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 20 Jun  002/003
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 21 Jun  004/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 22 Jun-24 Jun  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Jun a 24 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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