Viendo archivo del lunes, 19 julio 2010

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Jul 19 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 200 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Jul 2010

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 1087 (N17W61) produced a long duration B5 flare at 19/0752Z. This region shows a continued sign of decay. New Region 1089 (S23E70) was numbered today and emerged on the disk as a beta magnetic configuration.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for a C-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominantly quiet for days one and two (20-21 July). Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected for day three (22 July) as a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream will be in a geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Jul a 22 Jul
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       19 Jul 080
  Previsto   20 Jul-22 Jul  082/082/082
  Media de 90 Días        19 Jul 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 18 Jul  002/003
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 19 Jul  002/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 20 Jul-22 Jul  005/005-005/005-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Jul a 22 Jul
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo05%05%15%
Tormenta Menor01%01%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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