Viendo archivo del jueves, 12 agosto 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Aug 12 2201 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 224 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Aug 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1098 (N14E14)
produced two low-level B-class flares during the period. No new
regions were assigned.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low, with a chance for a C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be quiet until late on day three (15 August). Unsettled
to active levels are expected late on day three due to a coronal
hole high-speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Aug a 15 Aug
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Aug 086 Previsto 13 Aug-15 Aug 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 12 Aug 076
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Aug 009/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Aug 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Aug-15 Aug 005/005-005/005-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Aug a 15 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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