Viendo archivo del viernes, 27 agosto 2010

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Aug 27 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 239 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Aug 2010

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 1100 (S20W91) produced several small B-class x-ray events before rotating off the west limb. Region 1101 (N12E34) remains magnetically stable and quiet while growing in size. A CME associated with a lifted filament was visible on SOHO LASCO leaving the southwest limb around 27/0900Z. This event is not expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is forecast to be very low for the next 3 days (28-30 August).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged between quiet and active conditions over the past 24 hours. The greater than 10 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous obit was at high levels throughout the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is forecast to be mostly quiet with a chance for an isolated period of unsettled to active for the next 3 days (28-30 August).
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Aug a 30 Aug
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       27 Aug 073
  Previsto   28 Aug-30 Aug  073/073/075
  Media de 90 Días        27 Aug 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 26 Aug  011/011
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 27 Aug  008/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 28 Aug-30 Aug  005/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Aug a 30 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%10%10%
Tormenta Menor05%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%20%20%
Tormenta Menor15%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%

All times in UTC

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