Viendo archivo del viernes, 3 septiembre 2010

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Sep 03 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 246 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Sep 2010

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 1105 (N18W22) produced the only x-ray event of the period, a B1.8 flare at 03/1438Z. The three other regions on the disk remained quiet and stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is forecast to be very low with the chance for an isolated C-class flare for the next 3 days (4-6 September).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is forecast to be mostly quiet on day 1 (4 September), and quiet to active on days 2 and 3 (5-6 September) due to recurrent coronal hole effects.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Sep a 06 Sep
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       03 Sep 077
  Previsto   04 Sep-06 Sep  078/078/076
  Media de 90 Días        03 Sep 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 02 Sep  005/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 03 Sep  002/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 04 Sep-06 Sep  005/005-008/010-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Sep a 06 Sep
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%30%30%
Tormenta Menor05%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%30%30%
Tormenta Menor05%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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