Viendo archivo del sábado, 2 octubre 2010

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Oct 02 2201 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 275 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Oct 2010

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Todays activity consisted a single B5 x-ray event at 0851Z from Region 1109 (N21W65). Region 1109 continues to be the largest of the two spotted groups on the disk but showed decay in the trailer spots and was generally quiet and stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be generally very low for the next three days (03-05 October).There is, however, a chance for an isolated C-class event from Region 1109.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next two days (03-04 October). Quiet levels should also prevail on the third day (05 October) but there is a chance for some isolated unsettled intervals due to possible effects from a weak high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Oct a 05 Oct
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       02 Oct 085
  Previsto   03 Oct-05 Oct  082/080/080
  Media de 90 Días        02 Oct 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 01 Oct  000/003
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 02 Oct  001/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 03 Oct-05 Oct  005/005-005/005-007/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Oct a 05 Oct
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo05%05%15%
Tormenta Menor01%01%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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