Viendo archivo del domingo, 7 noviembre 2010
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Nov 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 311 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Nov 2010IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. Region 1121 (S18E36)
produced a C5/1F at 07/0141Z. Region 1121 was classified as an Esi
spot group, with a Beta-Gamma magnetic configuration. No new regions
were numbered. A small, faint earth-directed CME was observed on
both STEREO A and B coronagraph imagery, beginning at 07/0410Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels, with a chance for high levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels, with isolated active
levels at high latitudes, on days one and two (08-09 November).
Quiet levels are expected on day three (10 November). Further
analysis will be required to determine if the CME observed earlier
will be geoeffective. There is a slight chance for a greater than 10
MeV proton event from Region 1121.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Nov a 10 Nov
| Clase M | 85% | 85% | 85% |
| Clase X | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Nov 085 Previsto 08 Nov-10 Nov 087/090/090 Media de 90 Días 07 Nov 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Nov 001/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Nov 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Nov-10 Nov 007/008-006/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Nov a 10 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 09% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 03% | 01% |
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