Viendo archivo del martes, 16 noviembre 2010

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2010 Nov 16 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 320 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Nov 2010

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z

Solar activity has been very low. Region 1126 (S32E20) produced a few small B-class flares. New Region 1127 (N25E71) rotated onto the visible disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. There is a chance of a C-class flare from Region 1126 over the next three days (17-19 November).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (17-19 November).
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Nov a 19 Nov
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       16 Nov 092
  Previsto   17 Nov-19 Nov  090/090/090
  Media de 90 Días        16 Nov 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 15 Nov  005/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 16 Nov  004/007
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 17 Nov-19 Nov  007/007-007/007-007/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Nov a 19 Nov
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo40%30%40%
Tormenta Menor10%05%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo40%30%40%
Tormenta Menor20%10%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%05%

All times in UTC

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