Viendo archivo del jueves, 27 enero 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Jan 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 027 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Jan 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. Region 1149 (N16W90)
produced two C1 flares at 27/1201Z and 27/2003Z. A Type II radio
sweep was observed at 27/1208Z, with an estimated velocity of 901
km/s.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels on day one (28 January). There remains a
slight chance for a C-class flare as Region 1149 rotates off the
limb. Activity is expected to be very low on days two and three
(29-30 January).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels, with isolated unsettled
periods at high latitudes.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet levels for the next three days
(28-30 January).
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Jan a 30 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Jan 081 Previsto 28 Jan-30 Jan 079/078/078 Media de 90 Días 27 Jan 084
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Jan 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Jan 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Jan-30 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Jan a 30 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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