Viendo archivo del lunes, 7 febrero 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Feb 07 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 038 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Feb 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. Region 1153 (N15W56) produced several low level B-class events. Region 1153 showed an increase in areal coverage, sunspot count, and magnetic complexity.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels with a slight change for C-class activity for the next three days (08-10 February).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels throughout the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at predominantly quiet levels for the next three days (08-10 February).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Feb a 10 Feb
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       07 Feb 082
  Previsto   08 Feb-10 Feb  082/082/082
  Media de 90 Días        07 Feb 083
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 06 Feb  008/011
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 07 Feb  003/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 08 Feb-10 Feb  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Feb a 10 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%15%15%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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