Viendo archivo del domingo, 27 febrero 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Feb 27 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 058 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Feb 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z

Solar activity was low during the past 24 hours. Region 1164 (N27E46) produced several C-class events, the largest of which was a C4/Sf observed at 27/0355Z. A possible filament eruption around N15E70 was visible on SDO/AIA imagery at approximately 27/0930Z. An associated CME was observed on LASCO C2 at 27/1048Z but is not expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low for the next three days (28 February - 02 March). A chance for M-class activity exists from Region 1164.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet on day one (28 February). Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected for days two and three (01-02 March) due to the effects of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Feb a 02 Mar
Clase M35%35%35%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       27 Feb 090
  Previsto   28 Feb-02 Mar  090/090/090
  Media de 90 Días        27 Feb 087
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 26 Feb  002/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 27 Feb  002/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 28 Feb-02 Mar  005/005-008/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Feb a 02 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%20%20%
Tormenta Menor01%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%25%25%
Tormenta Menor01%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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