Viendo archivo del jueves, 31 marzo 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Mar 31 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 090 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 Mar 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z

Solar activity remained at low levels. Region 1176 (S16W51) produced a C2/Sf flare at 31/1535Z. Region 1183 (N15E14) produced a C1 flare at 31/0202Z. Both regions exhibited gradual decay during the period. No new regions were assigned.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low during the period (01 - 03 April) with a chance for moderate levels (isolated M-class).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
Geomagnetic activity was at quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic activity is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day 1 (01 April) due to possible coronal hole high-speed stream effects. Activity is expected to decrease to quiet levels during days 2 - 3 (02 - 03 April).
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Apr a 03 Apr
Clase M30%30%30%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       31 Mar 113
  Previsto   01 Apr-03 Apr  115/115/110
  Media de 90 Días        31 Mar 098
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 30 Mar  004/005
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 31 Mar  003/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 01 Apr-03 Apr  008/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Apr a 03 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%10%10%
Tormenta Menor05%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%15%15%
Tormenta Menor10%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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