Viendo archivo del domingo, 3 abril 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Apr 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 093 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Apr 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1183 (N17W25) produced a
C1 event at 03/0519Z. A CME was associated with a B8/Sf event from
Region 1173 (S18W86) at 02/2347Z. At 03/0024Z, Goes-15 SXI imagery
detected material movement from the SW limb that was later observed
in STEREO-B COR2 imagery at 03/0109Z and STEREO-A COR2 imagery at
03/0409Z. Using this imagery, a preliminary plane-of-sky speed
estimate of 322 km/s was assigned.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with a slight chance for moderate activity (isolated
M-class) from Region 1183 during the period (04 - 06 April).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to active levels in response
to a coronal hole high-speed stream (CH HSS). The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (04 - 06 April).
The CME mentioned above is not expected to be geoeffective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Apr a 06 Apr
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Apr 114 Previsto 04 Apr-06 Apr 110/105/105 Media de 90 Días 03 Apr 099
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Apr 013/020 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Apr 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Apr-06 Apr 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Apr a 06 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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