Viendo archivo del sábado, 23 abril 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Apr 23 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 113 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Apr 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 1195 (S16E14) produced several impulsive C-class flares during the period. This spot group maintained a Beta-Gamma magnetic configuration, though also showing signs of decay with a decrease in area. Region 1193 (N17W57) was stable and quiet during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is forecast to be low with a chance for a M-class x-ray event in the next 3 days (24-26 April).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet with the exception of an isolated period of active conditions between 23/09Z and 23/12Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet for the next 3 days (24-26 April).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Apr a 26 Apr
Clase M30%30%30%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       23 Apr 119
  Previsto   24 Apr-26 Apr  118/115/115
  Media de 90 Días        23 Apr 105
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 22 Apr  003/006
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 23 Apr  005/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 24 Apr-26 Apr  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Apr a 26 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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