Viendo archivo del domingo, 8 mayo 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 May 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 128 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 May 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity remained very low. Region 1203 (N18W55)
produced an isolated B-class flare. There were four spot groups on
the visible disk, none of which were magnetically complex, including
newly numbered Regions 1208 (N13E49) and 1209 (N35E08).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low during the period (09 - 11 May) with a chance for an isolated
C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
Geomagnetic activity was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be at quiet levels on day 1 (09 May). Activity is
expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels on day 2 (10 May)
as a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream (CH HSS) begins to
disturb the field. Quiet to active levels are expected on day 3 (11
May) as the CH HSS persists.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 May a 11 May
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 May 102 Previsto 09 May-11 May 102/102/100 Media de 90 Días 08 May 110
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 May 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 May 001/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 May-11 May 005/005-008/008-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 May a 11 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 10% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 15% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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