Viendo archivo del viernes, 13 mayo 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 May 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 133 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 May 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity has been very low during the past 24
hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for days one through three (14-16 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on day one (14 May). Days two and
three (15-16 May) are expected to be quiet to unsettled with a
chance for isolated active periods. The increase in activity is
forecast due to a coronal hole high speed stream becoming
geo-effective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 May a 16 May
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 May 092 Previsto 14 May-16 May 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 13 May 109
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 May 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 May 003/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 May-16 May 005/008-012/012-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 May a 16 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 30% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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