Viendo archivo del jueves, 19 mayo 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 May 19 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 139 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 May 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z

Solar activity was low during the past 24 hours. A long duration B3 event occurred in association with a filament eruption at 19/0436Z centered near N20W25. An associated CME became visible in LASCO C2 imagery at 19/0436Z but is not expected to cause significant activity at Earth. Region 1217 (S23W50) decayed to plage during the period. All other regions on the disk remained relatively quiet and stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for isolated C-class events for the next three days (20-22 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for days one and two (20-21 May) due to weak effects from the CME observed at 18/1842Z off the west limb. A return to quiet conditions is expected on day three (22 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 May a 22 May
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       19 May 084
  Previsto   20 May-22 May  084/082/080
  Media de 90 Días        19 May 109
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 18 May  004/006
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 19 May  004/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 20 May-22 May  007/007-007/007-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 May a 22 May
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%25%05%
Tormenta Menor05%05%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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