Viendo archivo del jueves, 30 junio 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Jun 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 181 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Jun 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
in the past 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be initially quiet on day one (1 July), becoming
unsettled late in the day. Days 2 and 3 (2 - 3 July) are expected
to remain unsettled. The increase in activity is forecast due to a
favorably positioned coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Jul a 03 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Jun 089 Previsto 01 Jul-03 Jul 087/087/087 Media de 90 Días 30 Jun 101
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Jun 002/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Jun 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Jul-03 Jul 007/008-010/010-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Jul a 03 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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